SYDNEY, Aug 23 — Asian shares were down for a sixth straight session today after a renewed spike in European energy prices stoked fears of recession and pushed bond yields higher, while tipping the euro to 20-year lows.
Benchmark gas prices in the European Union surged 13 per cent overnight to a record peak, having doubled in just a month to be 14 times higher than the average of the past decade.
Analysts at Citi warned inflation in Britain could top 18 per cent if energy prices were not restrained.
European and British manufacturing surveys due later today were expected to highlight the damage being done to activity, with Germany seen deeper in contractionary territory.
“Europe’s dire energy situation suggests the peak of inflation is not here yet and the risk remains that high inflation is sticky for longer without further aggressive central bank action,” said Tapas Strickland, a director of economics at NAB.
“No surprise then to see the USD at near multi-decade highs against a falling EUR and GBP.” The single currency was struggling at US$0.9937, having dropped 1 per cent to a 20-year trough of US$0.99265. The break of the July low at US$0.9952 was taken as a bearish sign for a further push lower, with little in the way of chart support left.
Sterling was down at US$1.1766, after diving as deep as US$1.1743 and levels last seen in March 2020 at the start of the pandemic. That saw the dollar index up to 108.870 and within a whisker of its July peak.
In Asia, unease over China’s economy continued to percolate as a cut in lending rates and talk of a fresh round of official loans to property developers underlined stresses in the sector.
“It would be bad enough for Chinese equities if the economy’s struggles were confined to the property sector,” said Oliver Allen a market economist at Capital Economics.
“But growth in the services sector seems unlikely to accelerate by much so long as China’s zero-Covid policies remain in place; the pandemic-linked export boom is coming to an end; and power shortages due to droughts in parts of the country look set to hobble industry in the near term.” Chinese blue chips were off 0.2 per cent having received only a fleeting lift from the latest policy easing.
Fed hawks rule
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dipped 0.4 per cent, and has fallen every day in the past week.
The Nikkei lost 1.2 per cent after a PMI survey showed factory activity in Japan slowed to a 19-month low in August amid persistent rises in raw material and energy costs.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures and FTSE futures were both off a fraction after sliding overnight.
S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures both edged up 0.1 per cent, but that followed sharp falls yesterday when rising bond yields undermined tech shares.
The benchmark US 10-year yield hit a five-week high of 3.040 per cent yesterday, while the 30-year yield climbed to a seven-week peak of 3.268 per cent.
Ten-year yields US10YT=RR were last trading at 3.029 per cent, up 50 basis points from the lows of early August.
The move in part reflects hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve officials which has led the market to price in a 55 per cent chance of a 75 basis-point hike to 3.0-3.25 per cent in September, and a peak for rates around 3.75 per cent.
The ascent of the dollar and yields has been a drag for gold, which was hovering at US$1,740 an ounce after hitting a three-week low overnight.
After a whipsaw session overnight, oil prices were bouncing as Saudi Arabia warned that the Opec+ producer alliance could cut output.
Prices have been weighed by demand concerns and the chance of a nuclear deal that could return sanctioned Iranian oil to the market.
Brent was up 78 cents at US$97.26, while US crude rose 78 cents to US$91.14 per barrel. — Reuters
